Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.001114 0.001266 0.001420 0.001586 0.001762 0.001940 0.002135
2025-03-30 0.000894 0.001111 0.001339 0.001594 0.001870 0.002156 0.002476
2025-04-06 0.000744 0.001011 0.001300 0.001634 0.002002 0.002392 0.002833
2025-04-13 0.000647 0.000956 0.001303 0.001711 0.002171 0.002665 0.003229
2025-04-20 0.000487 0.000811 0.001191 0.001651 0.002180 0.002758 0.003427
2025-04-27 0.000351 0.000677 0.001079 0.001582 0.002171 0.002826 0.003592
2025-05-04 0.000292 0.000633 0.001070 0.001628 0.002292 0.003036 0.003914
2025-05-11 0.000195 0.000522 0.000968 0.001556 0.002269 0.003079 0.004045
2025-05-18 0.000113 0.000413 0.000856 0.001463 0.002216 0.003083 0.004127
2025-05-25 0.000067 0.000347 0.000795 0.001429 0.002230 0.003161 0.004291
2025-06-01 0.000028 0.000272 0.000713 0.001361 0.002198 0.003183 0.004387
2025-06-08 0.000009 0.000228 0.000671 0.001343 0.002224 0.003271 0.004559
2025-06-15 0.000001 0.000205 0.000671 0.001400 0.002368 0.003528 0.004961
2025-06-22 NaN 0.000164 0.000637 0.001410 0.002455 0.003719 0.005292
2025-06-29 NaN 0.000138 0.000625 0.001449 0.002580 0.003958 0.005682
2025-07-06 NaN 0.000126 0.000637 0.001523 0.002751 0.004256 0.006142
2025-07-13 NaN 0.000079 0.000564 0.001467 0.002750 0.004340 0.006350
2025-07-20 NaN 0.000041 0.000490 0.001402 0.002732 0.004402 0.006530
2025-07-27 NaN 0.000031 0.000487 0.001446 0.002860 0.004646 0.006925
2025-08-03 NaN 0.000009 0.000418 0.001378 0.002832 0.004691 0.007082
2025-08-10 NaN NaN 0.000344 0.001290 0.002772 0.004693 0.007183
2025-08-17 NaN NaN 0.000304 0.001259 0.002788 0.004789 0.007398
2025-08-24 NaN NaN 0.000252 0.001195 0.002754 0.004820 0.007530